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Economic risk analysis

Man using a soldering iron to repair a drone.

Security at what cost? Defence spending, growth, and the fiscal arithmetic

Alexandre Lauwers , Vasiliki Michou, Lorenzo Ricci, Luca Zavalloni
Defence
Euro Area Stability Watch (EASW)
blog-2026-01-27-1540

Stronger fundamentals, new challenges: Greece's sovereign debt

Matthias Gnewuch
Greece
Sovereign debt
blog-2025-12-1540

Through the looking glass: granular evidence to strengthen economic resilience to physical climate risk

Miguel Angel Gavilan Rubio, Jemima Peppel-Srebrny
Climate change
Risks
Image frame Evaluation Blog.

Evaluation at international institutions: a cornerstone for efficient, credible, and adaptive operations

Olga Francová, John Goossen, Dušan Kovačević, Diana Žigraiová
Evaluation
Crisis
Blog Spillover effects 1540x1027

Spillover effects of debt issuance and the importance of fiscal rules

Matthieu Bellon, Matthias Gnewuch
Fiscal policy
The innovation channel of fiscal consolidation_Blog Image_1540x1027

The innovation channel of fiscal consolidation

Silvia Calò, Robert Kraemer, Francesco Tomasone
Competitiveness
Fiscal policy
+1
Assessing climate risks at the ESM_Blog Image_1540x1027

Assessing climate risks at the ESM

Matthieu Bellon, Martin Iseringhausen, Bernhard Mayr
Climate change
Risks
+1
Blog Higher interest rates Image

Higher interest rates attract investors to euro area sovereign debt but pose challenges for public finances

Ermal Hitaj, Gergely Hudecz , Alexandre Lauwers
Interest rates
Debt sustainability
+2
Building resilience Blog Image

Building resilience in times of inflation-induced inequality

Matthieu Bellon, Matthias Gnewuch
Inflation
Inequality
+1